Abortion follows inflation, economy and crime on list of top issues for battleground voters: poll

Democrats seized on the abortion issue to boost their odds in November, but a new poll shows that for most voters, nothing is more important than the economy.

The Swan investigation of likely voters in 15 battleground states conducted for the Republican State Leadership Committee found the top issues for most voters were inflation, the economy and jobs at 56% combined, followed by crime at 9%, then abortion at 8%.

“Abortion is not a major issue for voters – not even close,” said RSLC President Dee Duncan. “While abortion is an issue that people are concerned about, the data clearly shows that it is not among the top issues that will determine electoral behavior in November. Instead, this election will remain about the failing economy of Biden.

The poll was conducted June 24-26, immediately after the Supreme Court released its opinion on Friday in Dobbs v. Jackson which overturned the 1973 decision Roe v. Wade who legalized abortion nationwide.

Since the Dobbs decision, Democrats have sought to reframe the election as an abortion referendum, while Republicans have focused on soaring inflation and the faltering economy under President Biden.

“We were confident enough in our theory of the case that we tasked Cygnal with setting up a battlefield poll starting Saturday morning – when the intensity surrounding the Dobbs decision was at its height – to see if something had changed from a similar survey in January,” Mr Duncan said.

“The results confirm that Republicans across the state remain offended this year as they will continue to campaign focused on counterbalancing President Biden’s failing economic policies that have created record inflation and gas prices,” said he declared.

Asked about the candidates, 30% said a candidate’s position on abortion is “the most important issue to them”, while 65% said other issues were a higher priority. About 21% of independent voters said abortion was number one when choosing who to support.

Less than 40% of likely voters said they would be unwilling to vote for a candidate whose views differ from theirs on abortion.

The poll also showed that Mr Biden’s approval rating is still underwater at 41% in favor versus 57% unfavorable.

Democrats seeking to avoid an early annihilation of the Red Wave in November used Roe’s downfall as a rallying cry for their base.

Mr Biden urged voters to “raise their voices” by electing pro-choice candidates in November.

“This fall, Roe is on the ballot. Individual freedoms are on the ballot,” Biden said.

A Gallup poll published On June 6, before the Supreme Court’s ruling but after the leaked draft notice, found that 27% of registered voters said a candidate ‘must share their views on abortion to receive their vote. , which is the highest measured in an election year”.

“At the other end of the spectrum, 16% say abortion will not be a major issue in their vote, nine percentage points lower than what Gallup has measured in any previous election year,” the polls said. sounders.

Mr Duncan said the political environment is “still a disaster for state Democrats”.

“Republicans have a head start on what is by far the most important issue for voters, and the issues that state Democrats are trying to exploit to distract from Biden’s ailing economy don’t won’t be salient enough to save them in November,” he said. .

The Cygnal poll has a margin of error of +/-2.19%. Likely voters were surveyed in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Maine, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas , Washington and Wisconsin.

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